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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce logo

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Lecce

Gosens (9')
Beltran (17'), Zaniolo (61'), Mandragora (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Berisha (45+2'), Gallo (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Udinese
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Lecce

Although Fiorentina have recorded only eight more shots than Lecce in Serie A this season, the Viola have a good conversion rate of 13.2% - the third-highest throughout Italy's top flight - and their visitors (5.9%) have the worst. The Salentini rarely travel well either, so the hosts should prevail and put a stop to their slump. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLecce
56.99% (0.736 0.74) 23.92% (-0.144 -0.14) 19.09% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-0.186 -0.19)52.58% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.16 -0.16)74.23% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.20599999999999 0.21)18.27% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.348 0.35)49.33% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (-0.77 -0.77)41.86% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (-0.677 -0.68)78.31% (0.68000000000001 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 56.98%
    Lecce 19.09%
    Draw 23.92%
FiorentinaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.99% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.26% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 56.98%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.09%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lecce

Fiorentina
91.2%
Draw
7.0%
Lecce
1.8%
114
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lecce
0-6
Fiorentina

Gallo (43')
Cataldi (20', 45'), Colpani (34', 54'), Beltran (61'), Parisi (72')
Colpani (18'), Adli (42'), Gosens (59'), Ranieri (80'), Richardson (85')
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lecce
3-2
Fiorentina
Oudin (17'), Piccoli (90'), Dorgu (90+2')
Almqvist (50'), Banda (77'), Gendrey (82')
Mandragora (50'), Beltran (67')
Martinez (15'), Ranieri (72'), Gonzalez (90')
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')
Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
1-0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
1-1
Fiorentina
Ceesay (43')
Kouame (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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