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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Inter Milan

Ranieri (59'), Kean (68', 89')
Kean (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Pafos
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Fiorentina 0-2 Inter Milan

With just one loss in 18 games this season - against city rivals Milan in September - Inter are clearly capable of halting Fiorentina's momentum. The Viola will see their unlikely title hopes dented, as the vastly experienced Nerazzurri can be clinical when it really matters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
26.67% (-2.245 -2.25) 25.15% (-0.154 -0.15) 48.18% (2.399 2.4)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-1.15 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)50.06% (0.741 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.96% (-0.663 -0.66)72.04% (0.664 0.66)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-2.101 -2.1)33.24% (2.101 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (-2.384 -2.38)69.85% (2.385 2.38)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.749 0.75)20.8% (-0.747 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (1.162 1.16)53.46% (-1.159 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 26.67%
    Inter Milan 48.17%
    Draw 25.14%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 26.67%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.167 0.17)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.621 0.62)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 4.46% (0.417 0.42)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.119 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.199 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 48.17%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
22.0%
Draw
17.0%
Inter Milan
61.0%
141
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Fiorentina
0-1
Inter Milan

Ikone (45+2'), Mandragora (90+1')
Martinez (14')
Bastoni (42'), Sommer (75'), Pavard (82')
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Fiorentina
Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Final
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')
Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73'), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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