We said: Empoli 0-2 Inter Milan
Despite several impressive results on the road, Empoli have yet to win a Serie A home game this season, failing to even score in four attempts so far.
Ending that run against Inter will surely be beyond the Tuscan outfit, as the Italian champions have a point to prove after letting a big victory slip from their grasp at the weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 68.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
-0.29) 
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