Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 68.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 11.77% (  -0.29) | 19.44% (  -0.28) | 68.79% (  0.56) | 
| Both teams to score 44.28% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.18% (  0.47) | 47.82% (  -0.47) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.99% (  0.43) | 70.01% (  -0.44) | 
| Empoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 50.79% (  -0.2) | 49.2% (  0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.9% (  -0.14) | 84.1% (  0.14) | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.18% (  0.31) | 12.82% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.85% (  0.63) | 39.15% (  -0.63) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 1-0 @ 4.47% (  -0.12) 2-1 @ 3.26% (  -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.59% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 11.77% | 1-1 @ 9.19% (  -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.31% (  -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.35% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.44% | 0-2 @ 13.3% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 12.95% (  -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.44% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 9.11% (  0.14) 1-3 @ 6.46% (  0.06) 0-4 @ 4.68% (  0.12) 1-4 @ 3.32% (  0.07) 2-3 @ 2.29% (  0.01) 0-5 @ 1.92% (  0.07) 1-5 @ 1.36% (  0.04) 2-4 @ 1.18% (  0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 68.77% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 | 
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 | 
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 | 
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 | 
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 | 
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 | 
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
