We said: Empoli 0-1 Napoli
Although Napoli look like a well-oiled winning machine under Antonio Conte, they will have to scrap for all three points in Empoli.
The hosts have started the campaign solidly and have the second-best defensive record so far, meaning their visitors may need to rely on one moment of magic from a talented cast of attackers.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
![Italy's Alessandro Buongiorno pictured in training on June 19, 2024 [IMAGO]](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1 "Italy's Alessandro Buongiorno pictured in training on June 19, 2024 [IMAGO]")
-0.23) 
0.3) 
