Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Aug 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 0
Bologna

Di Lorenzo (45+2'), Kvaratskhelia (75'), Simeone (90+4')
Mazzocchi (43'), Rrahmani (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucumi (49'), Posch (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, August 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Bologna
56.29% ( -0.24)	23.67% ( 0.1)	20.03% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.56% (

-0.22)

50.44% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63% (

-0.2)

72.37% (

0.2)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26% (

-0.17)

17.74% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.58% (

-0.29)

48.42% (

0.3)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.42% (

0.02)

39.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.74% (

0.02)

76.26% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Napoli 56.28%

Bologna 20.03%

Draw 23.67%

Napoli	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.28%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.03%