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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Fiorentina logo

Empoli
0 - 0
Fiorentina

FT

Comuzzo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Fiorentina

Empoli have defied all the odds to stay undefeated so far, and they should certainly pose Fiorentina some problems in the Derby dell'Arno. However, the Viola can spoil their Azzurri rivals' party by snatching maximum points, having gained confidence from winning last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
26.47% (-0.952 -0.95) 26.22% (-0.149 -0.15) 47.31% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (-0.779 -0.78)35.76% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.81 -0.81)72.53% (0.81500000000001 0.82)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.51899999999999 0.52)23.01% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.753 0.75)56.81% (-0.746 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 26.47%
    Fiorentina 47.3%
    Draw 26.22%
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.47%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%

How you voted: Empoli vs Fiorentina

Empoli
37.2%
Draw
25.5%
Fiorentina
37.2%
94
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')
Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli

Beltran (77')
Caputo (21'), Gyasi (81')
Walukiewicz (52'), Cancellieri (71'), Fazzini (79')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')
Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
1-0
Empoli
Gonzalez (58')
Torreira (56')

Luperto (45+3'), Ismajli (81')
Luperto (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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