Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Lazio
Fiorentina will have to wait for their first win, as Lazio have started the season well and are more than capable of breaching their hosts' defence. The spoils may be shared at Stadio Franchi, which would suit the visitors much more than the Viola. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
51.74% ( 0.4) | 24.51% ( 0.08) | 23.75% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
