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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Lazio

Gudmundsson (49' pen., 90' pen.)
Gosens (11'), Biraghi (42'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gila (41')
Isaksen (26'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (89'), Tavares (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
51.74% (0.40199999999999 0.4)24.51% (0.082000000000001 0.08)23.75% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.783 -0.78)49.79% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-0.704 -0.7)71.79% (0.706 0.71)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.143 -0.14)19.22% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.239 -0.24)50.92% (0.241 0.24)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-0.858 -0.86)35.57% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-0.895 -0.9)72.34% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.74%
    Lazio 23.75%
    Draw 24.5%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
36.8%
Draw
34.7%
Lazio
28.4%
95
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Kayode (61'), Bonaventura (69')
Alberto (45')
Guendouzi (67'), Vecino (88')
Oct 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Immobile (90+5' pen.)
Lazzari (31'), Rovella (45+2'), Sarri (60'), Zaccagni (66')

Duncan (40'), Ikone (45+2'), Bonaventura (55')
Jan 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-1
Fiorentina
Casale (8')
Gonzalez (49')
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-4
Lazio
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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