We said: Southampton 2-1 Lazio
A year into Russell Martin's reign, Southampton have a relatively settled squad, while Lazio are undergoing something of a rebuild. Therefore, Saints will make the most of home advantage to post another morale-boosting friendly win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Lazio has a probability of 31.36% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Lazio win is 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).