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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Nono (18'), Nakama (53'), Anzai (79')
Morooka (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nakahara (38'), Fukuta (42'), Kawahara (49'), Togashi (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Brighton
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-4 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 21 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Sagan Tosu

While Sagan Tosu have experienced a slight upturn in their away record recently, it is difficult to back against the hosts, who have the best home record in the division this season and have not lost at this venue in almost a year. We feel this should be a fairly straightforward three points for the Antlers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 25.86% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawSagan Tosu
49.47% (-0.984 -0.98) 24.67% (0.299 0.3) 25.86% (0.687 0.69)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-0.703 -0.7)48.64% (0.705 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.643 -0.64)70.76% (0.645 0.64)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.672 -0.67)19.69% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.31% (-1.105 -1.11)51.68% (1.105 1.11)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.191 0.19)33.14% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (0.209 0.21)69.74% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 49.47%
    Sagan Tosu 25.86%
    Draw 24.66%
Kashima AntlersDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.242 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 25.86%

How you voted: Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu

Kashima Antlers
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Sagan Tosu
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 6am
Gameweek 9
Sagan Tosu
4-2
Kashima Antlers
Kawahara (30'), Ryan (45+3', 80'), Fukuta (88')
Ryan (38'), Nagasawa (59')
Nono (11'), Suzuki (86' pen.)
Aug 19, 2023 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Higuchi (26'), Chinen (80' pen.)
Sekigawa (9'), Shoji (90+4')
Narahara (66')
Yamazaki (23'), Iwasaki (31'), Togashi (72'), Seok-Ho (78'), Narahara (82')
Aug 19, 2023 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Higuchi (26'), Chinen (80' pen.)
Sekigawa (9'), Shoji (90+4')
Narahara (66')
Yamazaki (23'), Iwasaki (31'), Togashi (72'), Seok-Ho (78'), Narahara (82')
May 27, 2023 9am
Gameweek 15
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Kashima Antlers
Moriya (27'), Hayakawa (69' og.)
Tashiro (66')
Nago (33'), Suzuki (90+1')
Sano (77'), Higuchi (80')
Sep 16, 2022 11am
rhs 2.0 Olympic medal table header
CountryGold medalSilver MedalBronze MedalT
United StatesUnited States27353294
ChinaChina25231765
AustraliaAustralia18121141
FranceFrance13172151
Great BritainGreat Britain12172049
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia25155537191850
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers25145642301247
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka25136628181045
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima251110444251943
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe25126737241342
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo2591153226638
7FC Tokyo2510783532337
8Avispa Fukuoka259972423136
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama25105104039135
10Tokyo Verdy2581073237-534
11Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa249693934533
12Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki2571083835331
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2594122932-331
14Albirex Niigata2578103439-529
15Kashiwa ReysolReysol247893036-629
16Kyoto Sanga2577112540-1528
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2568113539-426
18Jubilo Iwata2567123242-1025
19Sagan Tosu2572163147-1623
20Consadole SapporoConsadole2536162350-2715


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