MX23RW : Sunday, July 21 22:08:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 24
Jul 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
1 - 4
Hiroshima

Ryan (46')
Yamazaki (6'), Fukuta (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (21'), Matsumoto (71'), Ohashi (87'), Mitsuta (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Before the previous matchday, Sagan appeared to be the team with some good momentum, while Sanfrecce were struggling - however, the tables have turned, and both history and momentum now favour the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw has a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it is 1-0 (5.7%).

Result
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
18.05% (-1.252 -1.25) 22.29% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 59.66% (1.271 1.27)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-2.2 -2.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (-1.805 -1.81)47.53% (1.811 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (-1.694 -1.69)69.74% (1.701 1.7)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (-2.458 -2.46)40.1% (2.465 2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-2.325 -2.33)76.74% (2.331 2.33)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (-0.193 -0.19)15.54% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.366 -0.37)44.48% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 18.05%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.64%
    Draw 22.29%
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.324 -0.32)
2-0 @ 2.6% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.458 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.336 -0.34)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.78 0.78)
0-2 @ 10.79% (0.65 0.65)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.7% (0.363 0.36)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.148 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.048 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 59.64%

How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima

Sagan Tosu
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 6am
Gameweek 3
Hiroshima
4-0
Sagan Tosu
Shiotani (18'), Kawamura (31'), Soteriou (51' pen.), Nakano (90+6')

Tezuka (55'), Togashi (69'), Harada (82')
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Hiroshima
Soteriou (3'), Vieira (79')
Junior (45+2'), Kawamura (67')
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 5am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia24154537191849
2Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka24135628181044
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers2413563930944
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe24126637211642
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima241010443251840
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo2491053226637
7FC Tokyo2410683532336
8Avispa Fukuoka249872322135
9Tokyo Verdy2481063236-434
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa249693934533
11Yokohama F MarinosYokohama2495103737032
12Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2494112729-231
13Kashiwa ReysolReysol247893036-629
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki2461083535028
15Albirex Niigata2477103237-528
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2467113438-425
17Kyoto Sanga2467112238-1625
18Jubilo Iwata2466123040-1024
19Sagan Tosu2472153144-1323
20Consadole SapporoConsadole2436152147-2615


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