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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Chicago Fire

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Rojas (6'), Alba (75')
Taylor (39'), Fray (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Czichos (74')
Gutierrez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire

This game may be closer than many might think, but Miami are more than comfortable in these kind of matches, winning seven times this year by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawChicago Fire
52.44% (-2.96 -2.96) 21.96% (1.34 1.34) 25.6% (1.628 1.63)
Both teams to score 62.74% (-3.107 -3.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-4.851 -4.85)36.6% (4.859 4.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (-5.485 -5.49)58.75% (5.493 5.49)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-2.51 -2.51)14.15% (2.517 2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.19% (-5.158 -5.16)41.81% (5.166 5.17)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-1.435 -1.44)26.93% (1.444 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (-1.927 -1.93)62.26% (1.935 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 52.44%
    Chicago Fire 25.6%
    Draw 21.96%
Inter MiamiDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.179 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.45% (1.074 1.07)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.425 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.511 -0.51)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.572 -0.57)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.325 -0.33)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.475 -0.48)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.365 -0.37)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 9.78% (1.058 1.06)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.846 0.85)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.308 -0.31)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.454 0.45)
0-1 @ 5% (0.947 0.95)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.509 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.172 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire

Inter Miami
86.1%
Draw
9.7%
Chicago Fire
4.2%
72
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
4-1
Inter Miami
Shaqiri (49', 73'), Haile-Selassie (62', 65')
Dean (52')
Martinez (53' pen.)
Busquets (42'), Martino (43'), Farias (90')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Feb 26, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Miami
0-0
Chicago Fire
Yedlin (53'), Lowe (74'), Quinteros (77')
Duran (87')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 27
Inter Miami
3-2
Chicago Fire
Vassilev (34'), Robinson (62'), Pizarro (90+3')
Gonzalez Pirez (50'), Robinson (74'), Carranza (84')
Calvo (40'), Stojanovic (48')
Herbers (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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