Major League Soccer

Jun 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
4 - 2
Chicago Fire

Torres (4', 60'), Muriel (20' pen.), Angulo (29')
Araujo (83')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Haile-Selassie (53' pen.), Cuypers (69')
Cuypers (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Orlando City
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Orlando City 1-2 Chicago Fire

Although both sides avoided defeat in their last game, it is Chicago Fire who have recently built up a head of steam. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to make it three MLS triumphs on the bounce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Chicago Fire
50.86% ( 0.02)	23.92% ( -0.01)	25.22% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03% (

0.05)

45.97% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73% (

0.05)

68.27% (

-0.05)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

0.03)

18.11% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

0.05)

49.05% (

-0.05)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

0.02)

32.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

0.02)

68.72% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 50.86%

Chicago Fire 25.22%

Draw 23.92%

Orlando City	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.86%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 25.22%