Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
52.43% | 23.48% | 24.1% |
Both teams to score 55.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.91% | 45.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.56% | 67.44% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% | 17.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.54% | 47.46% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% | 32.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% | 69.25% |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.43% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |