Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs Third Round clash between SBV Excelsior and ADO Den Haag.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | FC Eindhoven | 37 | 26 | 70 |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 44.11% | 23.55% | 32.34% |
| Both teams to score 61.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
