The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie playoff clash between SBV Excelsior and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Heracles
While the home side will no doubt be full of confidence, we cannot ignore the fact that they have not exactly found it easy posting wins of late. With that in mind, Heracles' superior quality should prove key, and they would be more than satisfied if they establish a narrow lead before the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
52.1% ( -0.84) | 23.86% ( 0.16) | 24.04% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
