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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Toulouse

Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse

David (5'), Ounas (53')
Fonte (44'), Diakite (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chaibi (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Toulouse

Two sides with contrasting thoughts as to how their seasons have started, Toulouse will travel to Lille confident of snatching a result. History suggests that it will be a challenge for the visitors, but given Lille's wretched form, do not bet against Toulouse snatching a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawToulouse
46.35% (0.628 0.63) 24.81% (0.718 0.72) 28.85% (-1.347 -1.35)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-3.294 -3.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-3.948 -3.95)47.23% (3.948 3.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-3.778 -3.78)69.46% (3.778 3.78)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-1.326 -1.33)20.44% (1.326 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-2.15 -2.15)52.89% (2.15 2.15)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-2.926 -2.93)30.11% (2.926 2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-3.655 -3.66)66.25% (3.655 3.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.35%
    Toulouse 28.85%
    Draw 24.8%
LilleDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.77% (1.173 1.17)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.643 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.372 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.958 0.96)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.446 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.619 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.85%

How you voted: Lille vs Toulouse

Lille
81.9%
Draw
16.7%
Toulouse
1.4%
72
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Lille
3-0
Toulouse
Remy (2', 39'), Sanches (72')
Osimhen (40')

Leya Iseka (24'), Sangare (89'), Vainqueur (90')
Oct 19, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-1
Lille
Sanogo (58'), Gradel (66' pen.)
Said (14'), Sanogo (40')
Fonte (93')
Xeka (71'), Araujo (73'), Pied (81'), Fonte (90')
Apr 21, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
0-0
Lille

Sidibe (23'), Gradel (41')

Celik (17'), Soumare (53'), Mendes (85')
Dec 22, 2018 8pm
Lille
1-2
Toulouse
Leao (17')
Mendes (45'), Dabila (62'), Maia (66')
Gradel (50' pen., 64')
Moubandje (38'), Durmaz (44'), Amian (70'), Sidibe (88')
May 6, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lille
Jean (9'), Jullien (44')
Yago (73'), Diop (78'), Moubandje (85')
Moubandje (90')
Pepe (5', 82'), Bissouma (80')
Bissouma (23'), Pepe (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG28235080265474
2MonacoMonaco29165857352253
3Marseille29164957411652
4Lille29148744311350
5StrasbourgStrasbourg29148748371150
6Nice29139754371748
7Lyon28146854381648
8Brest28134114443143
9Lens29126113232042
10Auxerre28108103939038
11Toulouse2997133838034
12Rennes28102163838032
13NantesNantes2879123347-1430
14Reims2978143142-1129
15Angers2876152646-2027
16Le HavreLe Havre2883173157-2627
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2865172864-3623
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2843212164-4315


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