Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.