| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 42.88% | 27.9% | 29.21% |
| Both teams to score 46.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.8% | 59.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% | 79.62% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.21% | 62.79% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% | 36.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.1% | 72.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.94% Total : 29.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 54 |
| 2 | Marseille | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 49 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | Lens | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 40 |
| 7 | Nice | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Lorient | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Reims | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Lyon | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Clermont | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Brest | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 20 |
| 16 | Troyes | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 19 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 18 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Auxerre | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 47 | -28 | 15 |
| 20 | Angers | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 10 |
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