Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.