Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.