Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 10, 2023 at 7am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City
4 - 1
Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Victory
Wednesday, April 5 at 10am in Australian A-League
Wednesday, April 5 at 10am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Victory
Saturday, April 1 at 3am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 1 at 3am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
68.99% ( 0.84) | 17.24% ( -0.19) | 13.77% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
