Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.09% (![]() | 21.73% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.72% (![]() | 33.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.95% (![]() | 55.04% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% (![]() | 13.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.01% (![]() | 40.99% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% (![]() | 57.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.21% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 9.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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