

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 38.63% ( | 22.92% ( | 38.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.58% ( | 35.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.54% ( | 57.46% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( | 18.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.58% ( | 50.42% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( | 19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.45% ( | 50.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-3 @ 2.11% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 38.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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