Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
56.49% (![]() | 21.65% (![]() | 21.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% (![]() | 39.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.39% (![]() | 61.61% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% (![]() | 13.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% (![]() | 41.1% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.57% (![]() | 31.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.19% (![]() | 67.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 9.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 5.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 21.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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