Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 47.03% ( | 23.11% ( | 29.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.14% ( | 38.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( | 61.17% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( | 16.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.12% ( | 46.87% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( | 25.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.06% ( | 59.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 3-0 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 4.24% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 27 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 21 |
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