Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners | 
| 47.03% (  0.23) | 23.11% (  0.12) | 29.86% (  -0.36) | 
| Both teams to score 62.19% (  -0.69) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.14% (  -0.8) | 38.86% (  0.8) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.82% (  -0.85) | 61.17% (  0.84) | 
| Sydney FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.14% (  -0.22) | 16.86% (  0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.12% (  -0.4) | 46.87% (  0.39) | 
| Central Coast Mariners Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.8% (  -0.62) | 25.2% (  0.62) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.06% (  -0.87) | 59.93% (  0.86) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners | 
| 2-1 @ 9.28% (  0.05) 1-0 @ 7.56% (  0.23) 2-0 @ 6.73% (  0.16) 3-1 @ 5.51% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 3.8% (  -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% (  -0.05) Other @ 4.24% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 10.42% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 6.4% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.25% (  0.16) 3-3 @ 1.74% (  -0.07) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.19% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.86% (  0.12) 0-2 @ 4.04% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% (  -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.94% (  -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.85% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% (  -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.01% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.86% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 41 | 
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 37 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 34 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 31 | 
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 31 | 
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 27 | 
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 | 
| 8 | Macarthur | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 | 
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 | 
| 10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 | 
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 23 | 
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 21 | 
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