Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers | 
| 44.25% (  0.15) | 24.21% (  -0.07) | 31.54% (  -0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 59.2% (  0.2) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.81% (  0.28) | 43.19% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.41% (  0.27) | 65.59% (  -0.27) | 
| Central Coast Mariners Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.3% (  0.18) | 19.7% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.3% (  0.29) | 51.7% (  -0.28) | 
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.72% (  0.09) | 26.28% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.6% (  0.11) | 61.4% (  -0.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers | 
| 2-1 @ 9.13% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% (  -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.83% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.95% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 3.7% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 2.01% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% (  0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.23% (  -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 5.18% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.47% (  0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.51% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.92% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.62% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.35% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.72% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% (  0) 2-4 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.54% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 | 
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 | 
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 | 
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 | 
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 | 
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 | 
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 | 
| 8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 | 
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 | 
| 10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 | 
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 | 
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 | 
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