Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 44.25% ( | 24.21% ( | 31.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( | 43.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.41% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( | 19.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.3% ( | 51.7% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( | 26.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.6% ( | 61.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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