Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 27.97% ( | 25.02% ( | 47.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( | 48.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( | 70.79% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( | 31.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.11% ( | 67.9% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( | 20.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.63% ( | 53.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 3-0 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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