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Hearts logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 11, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Celtic logo
Hearts
0 - 3
Celtic

Kiomourtzoglou (61'), Atkinson (79'), Hill (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mooy (2'), Furuhashi (45'), Carter-Vickers (80')
Carter-Vickers (46')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Hearts
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Hearts
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-3 Celtic

Hearts gave Celtic a scare in midweek and could be even stronger in front of their home crowd with some of their regulars back in the team. However, it would take more than a change of venue and Snodgrass in midfield for Hearts to go into a clash with this Celtic team as anything other than the underdogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawCeltic
13.56%17.23% (0.0040000000000013 0) 69.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)33.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.22% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)54.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)36.83% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.62% (0.012 0.01)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.22% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)29.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 13.56%
    Celtic 69.21%
    Draw 17.23%
HeartsDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 3.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 13.56%
1-1 @ 7.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.23%
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 7.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 4.77%
1-4 @ 4.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.34%
1-5 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 0.95%
1-6 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 69.21%

How you voted: Hearts vs Celtic

Hearts
10.8%
Celtic
89.2%
37
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
Hearts
3-4
Celtic
Shankland (45+3' pen., 47', 65' pen.)
Forrest (14'), Giakoumakis (55'), Maeda (59'), Taylor (76')
Jenz (41')
Aug 21, 2022 3pm
Celtic
2-0
Hearts
Furuhashi (13'), Giakoumakis (90+4')

Boyce (25'), Mackay-Steven (43'), Sibbick (55'), Cochrane (62'), Shankland (83')
Cochrane (89'), Sibbick (90+1')
May 7, 2022 12pm
Celtic
4-1
Hearts
Maeda (30'), Furuhashi (37'), O'Riley (69'), Giakoumakis (90')
Simms (3')
Sibbick (31')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
1-2
Celtic
Boyce (62')
Devlin (45'), Halkett (61'), Boyce (67')
Hatate (27'), Giakoumakis (35')
Taylor (45'), Jota (45'), Bitton (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal35256483394481
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341811561293265
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3419694941863
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham35107183850-1237
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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