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Scottish Premiership
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Dundee United
Hearts
3 - 1
Dundee Utd
Shankland (71'), Cochrane (77'), Humphrys (90+8')
Humphrys (48'), Kingsley (78'), Ginnelly (90+6'), Kuol (90+7')
Ginnelly (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fletcher (9')
Pawlett (13'), Sibbald (22')
Edwards (29')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Rangers
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 3-1 Dundee United

 With Dundee United languishing at the foot of the table, Hearts should return to winning ways this weekend, with Neilson's men expected to maintain their high-scoring home form against one of the leakiest backlines in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee United
52.87% (-0.187 -0.19) 22.48% (0.11 0.11) 24.65% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97% (-0.433 -0.43)40.03% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (-0.448 -0.45)62.39% (0.45 0.45)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)15.21% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.407 -0.41)43.85% (0.409 0.41)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (-0.173 -0.17)29.5% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (-0.21 -0.21)65.52% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 52.87%
    Dundee United 24.65%
    Draw 22.48%
HeartsDrawDundee United
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.87%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Hearts
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Dundee United
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 24, 2022 2pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Fletcher (20'), Levitt (47')
McMann (45')
Smith (41'), Shankland (90+4' pen.)
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Hearts
4-1
Dundee Utd
Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')
Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-3
Hearts
Levitt (4'), Edwards (65')
Mochrie (68'), Graham (89')
Boyce (44'), Ginnelly (59'), Simms (83')
Boyce (3'), Moore (45+1'), Haring (90+1'), Woodburn (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Smith (46'), Clark (57' pen.)
Butcher (32'), McDonald (54'), Graham (82'), McNulty (85')
Boyce (1'), Halkett (81')
Halkett (23'), Simms (39'), Ginnelly (65')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hearts
5-2
Dundee Utd
Woodburn (22', 50'), Cochrane (25'), Kingsley (76'), McEneff (86')
Edwards (34'), Clark (62')
Siegrist (26'), Fuchs (75'), Edwards (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427
> Full Version
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