Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
53.61% (![]() | 22.82% (![]() | 23.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% (![]() | 42.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.88% (![]() | 65.12% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.09% (![]() | 15.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% (![]() | 45.15% (![]() |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% | 31.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% (![]() | 68.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
2-1 @ 9.8% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.49% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.1% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 23.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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