Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
44.47% (![]() | 24.4% (![]() | 31.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.71% (![]() | 44.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.33% (![]() | 66.66% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% (![]() | 20.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% (![]() | 52.27% (![]() |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% (![]() | 27.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% (![]() | 62.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
2-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |