

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 41.93% ( | 25.16% ( | 32.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( | 69.27% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( | 22.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.14% ( | 55.86% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( | 27.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.27% ( | 62.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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