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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Hearts
Stokes (47'), Lafferty (59')
Armstrong (57'), Doidge (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Humphrys (62'), Atkinson (90+4')
Kingsley (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hearts

On the back of their defeat to Fiorentina, it remains to be seen how Hearts will react to an away game three days later. Kilmarnock are on a high after their return to winning ways in their last outing, and the home side may do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
37.06% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 27.37% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.57% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)55.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)76.97% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.03% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.94% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.012 0.01)66.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 37.05%
    Hearts 35.57%
    Draw 27.37%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.05%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
38.9%
Draw
22.2%
Hearts
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Hearts
2-3
Kilmarnock
Clare (79' pen.), Halkett (89')
Clare (35'), Souttar (48'), Naismith (65'), Irving (86')
Findlay (24'), Burke (38'), Brophy (50')
Power (52'), Branescu (78')
Branescu (80')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
May 4, 2019 3pm
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock

MacLean (43'), Smith (59'), Edwards (68')
Findlay (86')
Dicker (27'), Power (42'), Taylor (82'), Mulumbu (87'), O'Donnell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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