Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
61.1% (![]() | 22.33% | 16.57% |
Both teams to score 47.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% (![]() | 50.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% (![]() | 71.99% (![]() |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.1% (![]() | 15.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% (![]() | 45.15% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.63% (![]() | 43.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.39% | 79.61% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 11.66% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 61.1% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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