Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.