Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
25.79% | 27.95% | 46.26% |
Both teams to score 44.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.05% | 60.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.04% | 80.96% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% | 39.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% | 76.6% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% | 26.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% | 61.57% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 14.04% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-3 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.93% Total : 46.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 26 |
2 | RangersRangers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 18 |
3 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
5 | Hearts | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
6 | Motherwell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
10 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Ross County | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |