

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | St Mirren | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Hearts | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Livingston | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Ross County | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 62.46% ( | 20.97% ( | 16.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( | 44.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( | 66.67% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( | 13.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.28% ( | 40.72% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.04% ( | 39.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.39% ( | 76.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 5-1 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 62.45% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 16.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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