Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Johnstone and Ayr United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elgin 2-4 St Johnstone
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Annan 1-1 Ayr (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ayr United |
54.79% ( 0.12) | 24.78% ( -0.05) | 20.43% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
