Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for York City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 37.04% ( | 25.78% ( | 37.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( | 49.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( | 71.26% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( | 25.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.14% ( | 60.86% ( |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( | 25.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.24% ( | 60.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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