Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 30.54% ( | 22.41% ( | 47.05% |
| Both teams to score 65.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.93% ( | 35.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.94% ( | 57.06% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( | 22.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.33% ( | 56.67% ( |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( | 15.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.78% ( | 44.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-2 @ 6.7% 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 2-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 1-5 @ 0.99% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 105 | 36 | 69 | 100 |
| 2 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 |
| 3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72 | 62 | 10 | 67 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 61 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 56 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 55 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 55 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 48 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 47 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 46 |
| 18 | York City | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
| 19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Gateshead | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40 |
| 21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 38 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 37 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 76 | -30 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 41 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 90 | -47 | 24 |
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