Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 7.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.38%) and 0-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.