Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.