Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.