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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City
Swansea
2 - 0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Manning (82'), Piroe (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wells (74'), Sykes (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Bristol City

 Such is the increasing pressure on Swansea that Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another defeat on their hosts. Nevertheless, even with the Robins in a position where they need to push for maximum points, we expect Swansea to do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
49.89% (1.773 1.77) 24.95% (-0.465 -0.47) 25.15% (-1.311 -1.31)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.901 0.9)50.38% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.792 0.79)72.32% (-0.794 -0.79)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (1.116 1.12)20.21% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (1.757 1.76)52.52% (-1.761 -1.76)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.61 -0.61)34.67% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.651 -0.65)71.39% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 49.89%
    Bristol City 25.15%
    Draw 24.94%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.247 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.183 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
48.1%
Draw
22.2%
Bristol City
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Wood (90+4'), Cundle (94'), Latibeaudiere (120+2')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Pring (75'), Semenyo (120+2')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')
Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Conway (24')
Pring (90+4')
Ntcham (76')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742
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