Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 32.1% | 28.43% | 39.47% |
| Both teams to score 46.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.82% | 60.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.63% | 80.37% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% | 34.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.81% | 71.19% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.25% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 38 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 84 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 71 | 46 | 25 | 67 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 67 |
| 5 | Millwall | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 61 |
| 6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 61 |
| 7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 57 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 56 |
| 10 | Preston North EndPreston | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 56 |
| 11 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 54 |
| 13 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 51 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 39 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Hull City | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
| 18 | Reading | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 46 |
| 19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 42 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 39 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 39 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 39 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 39 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 39 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 34 |
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