

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 49.85% ( | 25.55% ( | 24.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.81% ( | 53.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( | 74.76% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( | 21.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.67% ( | 54.33% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( | 36.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.53% ( | 73.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 49.84% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 24.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 90 |
| P | Stevenage | 45 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 82 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 80 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 78 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 75 |
| 6 | Salford City | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 75 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 75 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 55 | 15 | 72 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 62 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 58 |
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 58 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 58 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 57 |
| 14 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
| 15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 55 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Walsall | 45 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 52 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 51 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 21 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 48 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 46 |
| R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 51 | 77 | -26 | 42 |
| R | Rochdale | 45 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 37 |
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