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Walsall
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Blundell Park
Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Newport
McAtee (36')
Waterfall (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Newport County

Seven of Grimsby's 15 home games at Blundell Park have finished in stalemates, with their games against Harrogate Town and Leyton Orient ending goalless and 2-2, respectively, while Newport played out to draws in five of their last 10 games on the road. A tie with both teams finding the back of the net appears to be in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
38.3% (1.7 1.7) 28.13% (-0.232 -0.23) 33.57% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 47.2% (0.52 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (0.714 0.71)58.9% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.55 0.55)79.39% (-0.55 -0.55)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (1.397 1.4)29.78% (-1.396 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (1.659 1.66)65.85% (-1.659 -1.66)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.60799999999999 -0.61)32.78% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.685 -0.69)69.34% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 38.29%
    Newport County 33.56%
    Draw 28.13%
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.35 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.245 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.378 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Newport

Grimsby Town
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Newport County
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Grimsby Town
0-2
Newport

Hendrie (24'), Taylor (52'), Waterfall (66')
Twine (25'), Amond (45+1' pen.)
Willmott (50')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
4-2
Newport
Garmston (1'), Benson (40'), Hanson (61'), Wright (84')
Hanson (29')
Green (10'), Amond (68')
Inniss (39'), Labadie (73')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient402312554272781
2Northampton TownNorthampton412013855381773
3Stockport CountyStockport4120101157332470
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle411913960372370
5Stevenage401913854371770
6Bradford CityBradford401814851351668
7Salford City411991364481666
8Mansfield TownMansfield4018111164491565
9BarrowBarrow41187164647-161
10Sutton UnitedSutton411512144245-357
11Tranmere RoversTranmere411411163942-353
12Swindon TownSwindon401312155250251
13Walsall411118124240251
14Grimsby Town401312154451-751
15Doncaster RoversDoncaster41156204157-1651
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe401115143951-1248
17AFC Wimbledon421114174551-647
18Newport CountyNewport401114154147-647
19Gillingham411211182944-1547
20Colchester UnitedColchester411012193947-842
21Harrogate TownHarrogate40914174759-1241
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool41815184870-2239
23Crawley TownCrawley41911214368-2538
24Rochdale4189243962-2333

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