

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical | 
| 57.97% ( | 21.99% ( | 20.04% ( | 
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.67% ( | 43.32% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.28% ( | 65.72% ( | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.33% ( | 14.67% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.17% ( | 42.83% ( | 
| Hamilton Academical Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.52% ( | 35.48% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical | 
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 57.97%  | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.99%  | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 20.04%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 70 | 
| 2 | Livingston | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 | 
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 | 
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 49 | 
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 49 | 
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 | 
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 34 | 
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 34 | 
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 28 | 
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 21 | 
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