Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
57.97% (![]() | 21.99% (![]() | 20.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.67% (![]() | 43.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.28% (![]() | 65.72% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% (![]() | 14.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.17% (![]() | 42.83% (![]() |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% (![]() | 35.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% (![]() | 72.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 9.99% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 57.97% | 1-1 @ 10.35% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 20.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 70 |
2 | Livingston | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 49 |
5 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 49 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 34 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 34 |
9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 28 |
10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 21 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |