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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Hamilton logo

Ayr
1 - 1
Hamilton

Walker (90+5')
Walker (85'), Rus (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shaw (64')
McGinty (45+1'), O'Hara (68'), Robinson (74'), Shaw (82'), Lyness (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Morton
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
57.97% (-0.542 -0.54) 21.99% (0.14 0.14) 20.04% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 55.05% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (-0.055 -0.05)65.72% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (-0.193 -0.19)14.67% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (-0.37 -0.37)42.83% (0.368 0.37)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (0.38 0.38)35.48% (-0.381 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (0.391 0.39)72.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 57.97%
    Hamilton Academical 20.04%
    Draw 21.99%
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57.97%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 20.04%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 23
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr
McKenzie (81'), Stanger (84')
McMann (19')
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Ayr
3-2
Hamilton
Murphy (8'), Rus (52'), Oakley (66')
Dempsey (37'), Musonda (47'), Rus (85'), Alin Rus (85')
Shaw (27'), Barjonas (38')
Hendrie (48'), Williamson (69'), (69'), Kilday (87'), (88')
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr

Martin (16'), Maguire (68'), O'Hara (79')
Martin (68')
Stanger (18'), Dowds (72')
Musonda (55')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr
Dempsey (12' pen.), Ashford (27')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Ayr
1-0
Hamilton
Mullin (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk34217668303870
2Livingston341910552262667
3Ayr UnitedAyr34178954371759
4Partick ThistlePartick341310114037349
5Raith Rovers34147134141049
6Greenock MortonMorton341111123947-844
7Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline3497182841-1334
8Queen's ParkQueen's Park3497183348-1534
9AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians3477203461-2728
10Hamilton AcademicalHamilton34106183758-2121


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