

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 40.03% ( | 24.27% ( | 35.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( | 42.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( | 64.71% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( | 21.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.86% ( | 54.14% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( | 23.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.57% ( | 57.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 35.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 |
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
