Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 47.75% ( | 24.61% ( | 27.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( | 47.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( | 69.34% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( | 19.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.15% ( | 51.85% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.78% ( | 67.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 47 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 46 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 36 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 26 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 25 |
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